NOAA Storm Prediction Center

Sunday 6 May 2012

Today's Outlook

Hello Everyone!
I've been on a long hiatus during my school year, but now that it has concluded, I'm back to writing some blogs. Since the SPC has covered a descent portion of the US under a slight risk today, I thought this would be a good place to start after a long break. 

There is a Slight Risk of severe storms today into this evening across portions of the upper Midwest into the Ozarks. Here...damaging winds and large hail will be possible and a severe thunderstorm watch is currently in effect for portions of ern IA and nwrn IL. 

Isolated severe storms will also be possible from ern KS into OK and central TX later this afternoon and evening. Damaging winds and very large hail may accompany these storms.

Another area of severe storms is possible this afternoon across portions of the Southeastern US where mainly strong winds and some hail may occur. 

Below is the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook/Tornado Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center: 





As well, these are the current Mesoscale Discussions:

Areas of concern here are nrn MO and wrn/nrn IL.

Severe Thunderstorms should increase in an areal coverage along an outflow/frontal zone which stretches from nrn IL into nrn MO over the next couple of hours.
   

Areas of concern here are cntrl Ms and far w-cntrl AL.

Here isolated strong to severe storms will be possible through the afternoon and evening. Instances of large hail and strong/gusty winds will be possible from the strongest storms. Given that the nature of the convection is isolated/disorganized, a ww is not anticipated.


For more on the Current Convective Watches see: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/
Stay tuned for more.



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